Class Research Resources and Assignments

Week 4
Lecture for Week 4
Slides for Week 4 Lecture

Link to Supplementary Material for Week 3
Past Class Related Event Videos:
Matthew Simmons, HUCE, 8 February 2006
and
Cape Wind Class Debate, 14 February 2006
Part 1 - Presentations, Part 2 - Q&A


A 'Southern' Perspective on Climate Change
 

Adil Najam - Fletcher School, Tufts University

Mr. Najam teaches courses on: Developing Countries and the Global Politics of Sustainable Development and International Multilateral Negotiation at the Fletcher School, Tufts Univversity.

Assigned Readings:

Adil Najam, et. al., "Climate negotiations beyond Kyoto: developing countries concerns and interests," Climate Policy, 3 (2003), pp. 221–231.

Adil Najam, et. al., "Integrating sustainable development into the Fourth Assessment: Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change," Climate Policy, (2003).

Adil Najam and Cutler J. Cleveland, "Energy and Sustainable Development at Global Environmental Summits: An Evolving Agenda," Environment, Development and Sustainability, 5 (2003), pp. 117–138.

 

Background:

      In the past it was customary to recognize the cultural divide between the so-called "East" and the "West," but growing issues of persistant poverty, debt and development have highlighted the growing gap between countries of the industrial world in the 'North' and those in the tropics, or the global 'South.' Just as many different perspectives on climate change issues have developed in the countries of the 'North', so, too, in the global 'South' a wide variety of view points of view have emerged. Scientists from regions in the global South have participated in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). In this context their views have added a global perspective to the concerns of the scientific community based principally in the industrialized world.

 
      Because of the complexity of the global climate system, changes in global climate will not affect all areas equally or in the same manner. Some areas are likely to experience shifts in temperature and rainfall that will place them under considerable stress, and their ability to respond effectively will depend in part on the resources they can mobilize in response to change. In general this will mean that populations in poorer countries in the global South may well be more vulnerable to climate change than those in the industrial countries of the North. At the same time, it is apparent to those monitoring global greenhouse gas emissions that the majority of these have in the past come from countries in the North and for several years to come this will continue to be the case.
 
      The result of this asymmetry is that there are sometimes different perspectives and frquently a marked differences in the sense of urgency about climate issues in the countries of the global North and those of the global South. The following news items, for example, highlight some of the striking differences that have already emerged and are likely to increase as climate change proceeds.
 
Kirby, Alex
  "'Climate change cancels debt'," BBC World Service, (19 September 1999 at 23:10 GMT 00:10 UK, Sunday).
 
Kirby, Alex
  "Climate treaty 'robs the poor'," BBC World Service, (6 November, 2000, 13:09 GMT Monday).
 
Kirby, Alex
  "Warming world's winners and losers," BBC World Service, (8 November, 2000, 19:00 GMT, Wednesday).
 
"The researchers have established that those most at risk from global warming produce the smallest quantities of greenhouse gases."
 


Readings:

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, (IPCC)
  2001 Climate Change 2001: Working Group II: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, (IPCC), (2001).
 

Consider in particular the sections devoted to: Africa, Asia, Latin America and Small Island States.

In addition to considering the implications of these articles, ask yourself, what do you think would would be the reaction of those who happen to read the following articles on Monday, 23 February in the Hindustan Times or the Philippine Inquirer or last week in Hi Pakistan?:

The Hindustan Times
"Pentagon report warns climate change may bring famine, war," HindustanTimes.Com, (23 February 2004).
The Philippine Inquirer
  "Leaked Pentagon report warns of global disaster," The Philippine Inquirer [Agence France Press], (23 February 2004)
Hi Pakistan
  "Secretive Pentagon report forecasts climate wars," Hi Pakistan, (15 February 2004).
Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall
2003
An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications for United States National Security, United States Department of Defense, (October 2003).

Supplementary Material for Week 4

Reality, Belief and the "Spin Cycle"

    You may find that your head is spinning after listening to all the different versions about climate issues. There is a reason. We have been subjected in America to a combined corporate and governmental spin cycle.

    The manipulation of media and the crafting of story lines in the press which we have witnessed over the last few weeks on the topic of global warming is not the only -- and maybe even not the most salient or enduring -- example of governmental distortion and suprression of news and information. The stiffling of scientific data about the environment, it should be remembered, is taking place in a country that considers itself at war. In these circumstances it would seem that mapulating the truth has become the standard operating procedure for both this administration and the corporate press that reports on it.

    Consider, for example, the recent documentary that has been released on the American press and the Iraq war, entitled: "WMD (Weapons of Mass Deception)" (see discussion at: When News Lies).

    The way this administration has operated a perpetual spin cycle to shape the news is no longer a secret. Former Pentagon public affairs officer, Victoria Clarke, initially considered an expert in the PR industry, has clearly documented the kinds of techniques she introduced to this administration to put, as she phrases it: "Lipstick on a Pig."

    When former Pentagon officials take such public pride in their achievements in manipulating the truth and "managing perception," it is perhaps not a surprise that young, ambitious public affairs officers in bureaucratic positions at NASA and other government agencies felt entitled and emboldened to manipulate scientific information.

    This phenomenon is not simply a question of a few "bad apples" who lie about their college degrees or credentials? It is, instead, more completely understood as a larger cultural phenomenon stemming ultimately from a social group's unwillingness to change its behavior. In resisting change at all costs whole groups of people can doggedly reiterate their fundamental beliefs, while it refusing to perceive the reality staring them in the face. Fundamentalisms of all sorts emerge to deny certain aspects of reality. This is not limited to any one culture. Fundamentalism is a trans-national, trans-cultural, trans-religious phenomenon, and as social stress rises fundamentalisms will flourish in whatever cultural setting is at hand. In short, fundamentalisms have to do with the structure of belief, not its content; and, as we have learned, the structure of belief is far more enduring than the content of any belief system.

    Hence, once again, beliefs often overide experience and perception. In considering patterns of change in thought, belief and behavior, its is not quite true to say that "we will believe it when we see it." Instead, as anthropologists have emphasized for decades, it is far more accurate to say: "we will see it when we believe it."

  It is perhaps for this reason that the recent initiative launched by President Bush to appear to take science very seriously, is regarded with great skepticism by those in the scientific community. In an editorial in the 17 February issue, Science, entitled, "The New Gag Rules," the editor-in-chief of the journal, Donald Kennedy, cites two examples of intentional government interference with science, and he concludes:

 

What does President Bush expect to see?
What has he been told to expect to see?
What does he see?
 

"These two incidents are part of a troublesome pattern to which the Bush administration has become addicted: Ignore evidence if it doesn’t favor the preferred policy outcome. Above all, don’t let the public get an idea that scientists inside government disagree with the party line. The new gag rules support the new Bush mantra, an interesting inversion of Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfield’s view on war: “You don’t make policy with the science you have. You make policy with the science you WANT.”

    While apologists for the administration -- like Bush's Science Advisor, Dr. John Marburger -- offer different perspectives, their defense of the Bush administration's record is not always convincing. Listen to and examine, for example, the recent report of Don Gonyea, on "Bush Science Push Fails to Transform Critics," NPR - Weekend Edition - Sunday, (26 February 2006).

What, then, can cause change in the structure of belief systems? If additional evidence is not sufficient, what will be required for changes in the structure of belief to occur?

    While, admittedly, it may be difficult to anticipate future climate change and transform our fundamental beliefs to respond effectively to it, there is mounting evidence that the current administration has considerable difficulty perceiving and responding even to the most immediate climate related problems. While the administration maintained that it simply did not know about the scale and scope of hurricane Katrina at the end of August 2005, it has emerged during this past week that the President himself was informed before Katrina hit New Orleans that it could be a catatrophic and deadly storm. [See, for example, the recent CNN Report ( "Bush warned before Katrina hit," CNN News Online, (2 March 2006); the BBC report -- which was aired to the world at large ( Sarah Morris,"Video shows Bush Katrina warning," BBC News Online, (1 March 2006); and the report from several sources compiled by Democracy Now: "Video Shows Bush Receiving Dire Warnings Day Before Katrina," Democracy Now, (2 March 2006).)].

    What prevented the administration from acting upon the latest and best briefings it was receiving is not yet clear. Perhaps it felt the Katrina events were not happening because they believed they could not happen. Once again belief systems may have overidden perception.



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